Assessment of harbour inoperability and adaptation cost due to sea level rise. Application to the port of Tangier-Med (Morocco)

This paper intends to assess the potential impacts of future SLR on operability berthing structures and estimate in monetary terms adaptation costs it. To do this, three scenarios are considered, two corresponding last assessment report IPCC (RCP4.5 RCP8.5) other being a high-end scenario (HES), with low probability occurrence but physically possible. The research is focused case study Tangier-Med port, which considered as an economic magnet for northern region Morocco centerpiece government strategy port development. results show that will be affected only under HES from 2090 onwards. However, by 2100, this all docks would affected, especially service terminal those dedicated containers, hydrocarbons, vehicles general cargo, percentage inoperability could exceed 30% time. lead traffic losses 1.9 million TEUS more than 22 tons cargo 2100 while 40 euros (in present units).